Thursday, May 25, 2006
Bashneft oil co. appoints regional leader's son as General Director

Tuesday, May 23, 2006
TNK-BP holds back $1.3bn for back tax claims

Kazakhs Will Hike Gas Price by 33%

Russia Ready to Be Europe's Leading Oil and Gas Supplier - Presidential Aide

Experts Predict End of Oil Boom in Russia

The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) released research on the state presence in the fuel and energy complex in CIS countries last week, claiming that the share of Russia, Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan in the world growth of oil supply shrank to 30-35 percent by 2005, compared to 60 percent between 1984 and 2004. The OECD blames it on the regulating governmental policies in Russia and Kazakhstan.
Realizing the oil supply potential of the CIS: The impact of institutions and policies, drawn up by Rudiger Ahrend and William Tompson, focuses attention on the role of five former Soviet countries on the oil market. The experts note that the share of the five nations in the oil supply increase has gone down to 30 percent from 60 percent in 1998, according to early estimates of the OECD. The paper points out to a fast revival of oil markets in Russia, Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan after the collapse of the Soviet Union but says that the process is to come to an end soon.
Experts attribute the slowdown in the supply growth to greater state involvement in the oil industry in Russia and higher taxes in the industry The OECD compares activities of three groups of Russian oil companies – state-friendly (Bashneft, Tatneft, Rosneft), insiders (LUKOIL and Surgutneftegaz) and those controlled by financial groups (Sibneft, TNK-BP and YUKOS) in the course of 2001-2004. The report shows that “financial” companies outpace the other two groups in all respects such as the share of exports outside the CIS, investments in the production and the growth in total production.
Problems of Russia and Kazakhstan, the experts note, play right into the hands of OPEC member-countries and new producers, primarily those in Africa, Latin America and South East Asia who may take the chance of CIS stagnation to satisfy the growing demand on oil.
The experts at the OECD advice Russia to return to tackling basic issues such as taxation, property rights, legal protection and development of the oil industry.
Russian Oil Assets Merge in Canada
05-18-2006 Kommersant
Russia's North-West Oil Group and Canadian Nord Oil International, whose assets are based in Russia, have signed a merger agreement. Nord Oil is to buy out North-West Oil's producing subsidiaries in Saratov Region, setting up the new Northwest Oil Group. The Russian oil company will hold the controlling stake in the new firm.
Ernest Malyshev, president of North-West Oil, and Vyacheslav Makarov, president of Nord Oil International, signed the merger agreement on May 9, Kommersant learnt. Nord Oil is buying North West Oil's two subsidiaries, North-West Oil Group-Saratov and Neftegazenergo. The firms and 100 percent of Nord Oil's stocks are to be included in the authorized capital of the new company called Northwest Oil Group. North-West Oil is to own 59 percent in Northwest, the remaining 49 percent will go to Nord Oil. North-West Oil's president Ernest Malyshev is to become president and director general at Northwest.
North-West Oil Group was founded in St. Petersburg in 2004. Experts estimate the total resources of the oil group at some 7-8 million metric tons. Nord Oil International is registered in Montreal but all its producing assets are situated in Russia. The company's proved and possible resources come to 6.6 million metric tons.
The merger deal will be concluded after it is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission next week. Assets of the new joint company are believed to total $1.25 billion after the merger.
Russia's North-West Oil Group and Canadian Nord Oil International, whose assets are based in Russia, have signed a merger agreement. Nord Oil is to buy out North-West Oil's producing subsidiaries in Saratov Region, setting up the new Northwest Oil Group. The Russian oil company will hold the controlling stake in the new firm.
Ernest Malyshev, president of North-West Oil, and Vyacheslav Makarov, president of Nord Oil International, signed the merger agreement on May 9, Kommersant learnt. Nord Oil is buying North West Oil's two subsidiaries, North-West Oil Group-Saratov and Neftegazenergo. The firms and 100 percent of Nord Oil's stocks are to be included in the authorized capital of the new company called Northwest Oil Group. North-West Oil is to own 59 percent in Northwest, the remaining 49 percent will go to Nord Oil. North-West Oil's president Ernest Malyshev is to become president and director general at Northwest.
North-West Oil Group was founded in St. Petersburg in 2004. Experts estimate the total resources of the oil group at some 7-8 million metric tons. Nord Oil International is registered in Montreal but all its producing assets are situated in Russia. The company's proved and possible resources come to 6.6 million metric tons.
The merger deal will be concluded after it is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission next week. Assets of the new joint company are believed to total $1.25 billion after the merger.
Marathon Oil Gives Up Russian Oil

MARATHON Oil of the US has entered into a definitive agreement to sell its Russian subsidiary Khanty-Mansiysk Oil (KMOC) to a West Siberian oil producing affiliate of state oil giant Lukoil. Under the terms of the agreement, Lukoil will pay about $787 million, plus working capital and other closing adjustments, Marathon said. The transaction is expected to close in mid-July, subject to government approvals and other closing conditions. Besides KMOC, Marathon will also sell its stakes in two minor oil producers in the region - Paytykh Oil and Nazymgeodobycha. "Since acquiring these assets almost three years ago, Marathon has doubled oil production to more than 30,000 barrels per day, resulting in the creation of substantial value," said Marathon chief executive Clarence Cazalot. "We have elected to monetise the value of these particular assets, while continuing to evaluate other attractive opportunities in Russia," he added. In May 2003, Marathon paid about $275 million to Russian individuals to buy a controlling interest in Khantymansiyskneftegazgeologia, a company with about 250 million barrels of proven and probable reserves and an estimated 900 million barrels of total oil resources in the Khanty-Mansiysk region in West Siberia. Following the acquisition, the company was renamed KMOC and its output doubled under the Western management brought in by Marathon. KMOC has nine operating licences, including three producing fields in the Khanty-Mansiysk region - Potanay, East Kamennoye and Paitykhskoye. Six fields are still under appraisal and development - Galyanovskoye, Middle Nazymskoye, Aprelskoye, Tsentralnoye, Bolshoye and Olkhovskoye, Marathon said. According to Aton Brokerage in Moscow, the implied valuation of the agreement at $3.10 per barrel of proven and probable reserves and at $77 per barrel of current oil production "looks value accretive for Lukoil". Some industry observers in Moscow suggest that Marathon may re-invest some of the proceeds from the sale into a long-discussed joint venture with Russian state-owned oil company Rosneft. The venture is set to explore and develop oilfields in the Timan-Pechora province in Russia's north, where Rosneft is seeking to expand to counter its rival Lukoil. 05-18-2006 Kommersant - by Anna Skornyakova, Natalya Skorlygina
The company sold all its Siberian assets to LUKOIL
American Marathon Oil leaves Russia again after its return 3 years ago. It arranged to sell companies Khantymansiyskneftegazgeologiya, Paytyh Oil, and Nazymgeodobycha, which are owned by American Khanty Mansiysk Oil Corporation, for $787 million to LUKOIL. The Yukos case has seriously shattered Marathon's confidence in Russian economy, so the company decided to give up business in Russia. LUKOIL and Marathon Oil announced their agreement on LUKOIL's buying Marathon's assets yesterday. Beside the $787 million, LUKOIL is to compensate for floating capitals of the purchased companies. LUKOIL told Kommersant that the amount of the compensation is being discussed and will be decided upon by July.
The assets sold by Marathon include over 95 percent of Khantymansiyskneftegazgeologiya shares, and 100 percent of Paytyh Oil and Nazymgeodobycha shares. These 3 companies belong to US-based Khanty Mansiysk Oil Corporation. Marathon had bought Khanty Mansiysk Oil from Shell, western funds, and private individuals for $275 million in 2003. The 3 companies of Khanty Mansiysk Oil own 9 license areas on both banks of the Ob river in the Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Area, where they have extracted 257 million tons by January 1, 2006.
LUKOIL expects to extract more oil and to develop new oil fields. It also intends to join Urayneftegaz, a part of LUKOIL-West Siberia, in the production activity, which will bring over $100 million. According to Kommersant's information, Rostekhnadzor sent Rosnedra, the Federal Mineral Resources Agency, a demand to revoke some of Marathon's oil field licenses. Thus, Rosnedra are to inquire into the companies' compliance with license agreements. However, Rosnedra have already held such inquiry in autumn 2005, and have not discovered any violations.
It is not the first time that Marathon Oil leaves Russia. It exchanged 37.5 percent of Sakhalin-2 project shares for Shell-owned assets of non-Russian business in 2000. However, inspired by oil extraction increase, it bought Khanty Mansiysk Oil Corporation in 2003 and offered to Rosneft to create a joint subsidiary. Severnaya Neft, Rosneft's subsidiary, Khanty Mansiysk Oil, and oil-refining and sales US assets of Marathon might have joined the subsidiary.
Yet, the Yukos case have changed Marathon's plans. The company's financial director Janet Clark said that Marathon will probably make corrections to its business strategy in Russia. "We have not taken into account the constant changes in Russia's financial sector, or the political situation which made us step back and think what is the best way to go on," she said. Paul Weeditz of Marathon Oil did not link the leave of Russia to Yukos. Yet he said: "When we were buying this asset, we planned to develop it, but not to sell."
Tatneft to build petrochemical complex

RTS bourse to launch domestic oil futures at start of 2007
MOSCOW, May 22 (RIA Novosti) - The RTS, Russia's leading stock market, will begin trading ruble-denominated futures for the domestic price of oil and oil products from 2007, RTS Vice President Roman Goryunov said Friday. The RTS had previously announced it would begin trading futures contracts for the export price of oil. RTS President Oleg Safonov said RTS had signed an agreement with Platts, a leading international provider of energy information, on providing price data on which oil futures trading would be based. "Later on we will be able to launch trade and delivery contracts," Safonov said. The ruble-denominated futures will have a settlement period of one month, and a minimum security guarantee on any contract of 10% of its overall value
RTS bourse to start trading oil, oil products, gold on June 8
MOSCOW, May 22 (RIA Novosti) - The Russian Trading System, Russia's premier stock market, announced Monday that it would start trading in gold, oil and oil products on June 8. The announcement comes in the wake of President Vladimir Putin's state of the nation address May 10, when he said Russia, as a leading oil exporting nation, should establish its own oil exchange to trade crude and petroleum products for rubles. "The first trading in contracts for gold will commence in Russia on June 8," the RTS said in a statement. The stock exchange also said it would start trading in futures and options on oil and oil derivatives, including Urals brand, diesel fuel, jet fuel and fuel oil. Trade will be in rubles based on prices calculated by the Platts agency. The settlement period for a contract is one month and the minimum security guarantee on a contract is 10% of its overall value. The derivatives section of the RTS, known by its Russian acronym Forts, will trade futures and options on gold in rubles based on the London Stock Exchange evening fixing rate. The settlement period for a contract is one month and the minimum security guarantee on any contract is 5% of its overall value. The statement said RTS would collect a 1-ruble commission for each concluded contract.
Russia's RussNeft oil company bidding for Israel refinery
MOSCOW, May 22 (RIA Novosti) - RussNeft president said Monday that the Russian oil holding company was bidding for a $380-million oil-refinery in Israel. "We are bidding in the tender to buy a refinery in Israel," Mikhail Gutseriyev said. RussNeft put forward its bid for refinery in February and is now waiting for the tender commission's decision. No deadline has been set for identifying the winner. The oil-refinery, which has an annual production of 5 million metric tons (36.6 million barrels), is near the town of Ashdod in southern Israel. Earlier, the Israeli Finance Ministry said the other bidders were Israel-based Delek Group, Dor Alon Energy in Israel, Ampal-American Israel, Paz Oil and Sonol Israel. RussNeft is a vertically integrated oil holding company, and is among Russia's top ten oil producers. Its recoverable oil reserves exceed 630 million metric tons (4.6 billion barrels).
Friday, May 19, 2006
Rosneft's IPO Likely to Precede G8 Summit

• Gazprom has again delayed announcing its foreign partners for developing the $20 billion Shtokman gas field.
• Energy and Industry Minister Viktor Khristenko said Thursday that partners would be named "this summer," Reuters reported, a day after Gazprom deputy CEO Alexander Ryazanov said the decision would be made by the end of May.
• Growing state intervention in the energy sector risks damaging Russia's ability to satisfy rising world oil demand and may force consumers into the arms of the OPEC export cartel, the OECD said in a report on Thursday.
Thursday, May 18, 2006
Study on Sakhalin-II costs to be finished in summer

Monday, May 15, 2006
Total Still Hopeful on Shtokman

Sibneft Changes Name to Gazprom Neft

Gasoline Prices

Sibur petrochemical giant to secure $37-mln loan from ING Bank

Rosneft state oil co. says proven reserves are 18.9 bln barrels

Friday, May 12, 2006
Rosneft to invest $1bln in Siberia's Vankor deposit in 2006

Investment prospects high for Russia's Far East
RBC, 12.05.2006, Krasnoyarsk 09:29:41 – Investment in the development of Russia's Far East may reach $230bn within 10 years, Governor of the Krasnoyarsk region Alexander Khloponin said opening an economic forum in Krasnoyarsk. Comparing the development of Siberia and the Far East to that of South-East Asia as a whole, he pointed out that the volume of annual investments in Russian regions was behind by a factor. Meanwhile, according to the Governor's assessment of business' interest, some 100 projects were found capable of attracting up to $230bn.
Rosneft unified IPO set for Q3 or Q4 - economics ministry

Wednesday, May 10, 2006
Sakhalin Island: Journey to Extreme Oil

Big Oil's future lies in such forbidding places as Russia's Far East
By Stanley Reed on Sakhalin Island
Summary prepared by Hayk Sargsyan of CDI
With their home reserves depleting fast, the big Western giants are increasingly compelled to go to any extreme to find new oil and gas. Sakhalin Island is about as extreme as they come. The 600-mile-long strip of mountains and forests off Russia's Far East is as good a vantage point as any to see the international oil industry's future and the challenges it faces. Big Oil is having to place ever bigger bets to get the reserves it needs. As a result immense new landmarks - drilling platforms, pipelines, and liquefied natural gas facilities -- are rising through the mists of this forbidding island. An estimated 45 billion barrels of oil equivalent lie beneath the icy seas off its shores, a figure rivaling what remains in the U.S. or Europe. But developing those resources is proving lengthy, difficult, and expensive. Cost overruns have been huge, and no one knows if the Russians will end up controlling the assets now being built.
Clearly, this is a game for the big boys only - Shell (RD ), ExxonMobil (XOM ), and BP (BP ) - and even they are struggling to get Sakhalin right. Operations of the island's biggest player, Royal Dutch Shell PLC, stretch all the way from the island's barren northeastern shore on the Sea of Okhotsk to the regional capital city, Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk, and further south. Shell is a 55% partner in Sakhalin Energy Investment Co., a controlling stake it picked up when Marathon Oil (MRO ) Corp. bailed out in 2000. Shell's other partners are Mitsui & Co. and Mitsubishi Corp. Together they are building and operating Sakhalin II, a batch of five or six projects each costing a billion dollars or more and employing 17,000 people. Shell has hurt its reputation with investors and with its Russian hosts by letting the costs of the venture soar. In 2005, Shell announced that the price tag for the main phase of Sakhalin II would double, to $20 billion.
There's a lot at stake. Oil and gas from beneath three platforms off the island's northeast coast will be pumped onshore by pipeline and sent 500 miles south to the tip of the island. There the oil will be loaded into tankers and the gas supercooled in giant liquefied natural gas plants, to be shipped to energy-hungry Japan and South Korea, and probably to China. Some gas will also pass through a terminal in Baja California, Mexico, and on to the West Coast of the U.S.
If successful, the project will confirm Sakhalin's stature as a major new energy province and transform Russia into a key supplier to Asia. Sakhalin II will also be Russia's first ticket into the game of liquefied natural gas, a hot area of the energy industry these days. Altogether, Sakhalin II boasts 4.5 billion barrels of reserves. Shell expects to be producing 185,000 barrels a day of oil plus condensates from gas and 467 billion cubic feet per year of gas by 2008.
Just getting to Sakhalin, and to Shell's operations, is challenging in itself. The island is located seven time zones, and a nine-hour flight, from Moscow. That's the first part of the journey. Expatriate oil workers and visitors then board the train that runs north from Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk to Nogliki, the snowy gateway to the offshore oil fields. Sakhalin Energy maintains its own sleeping car with wood paneling, rugs, and burly, tattooed guards to fend off bandits. Passengers board in the evening and toss and turn on narrow bunks in steamy cabins while the train bumps and clatters for 15 hours through the snowy wastes. Sakhalin Energy's operations in the north are so remote that it had to build a 43-mile road to get there. Bears roam the woods, and the weather is so bad that construction manager John Burn hires 70 people to keep the area clear of snow and ice six months a year.
The pipeline system that Sakhalin Energy is building is no less complicated. Two conduits - one for gas and one for oil - are being buried in mountainsides and other rugged terrain and will cross about 1,000 streams and rivers on the way south. Many of the waterways are spawning sites for salmon, posing an environmental challenge. In special cases Sakhalin Energy uses sophisticated drilling to tunnel under streams. But the company has run into trouble with sloppy local contractors who rely on their instincts to do things their way, managers say. Because Sakhalin lacks a high-tech local oil industry, Sakhalin Energy must import just about everything, including oil platforms built in South Korea and towed across the Sea of Japan. Shell had hoped to turn to Russian suppliers for pressurized tanks and other equipment, but these proved "useless," says a senior Shell executive. Even so, Shell has channeled some $6 billion in work to Russian contractors for building roads, pipelines, and other jobs.
Sakhalin Energy is also responding to the demands of indigenous peoples. Numbering about 3,500, they live mainly in the north and protested vigorously against the company's construction projects there. So Sakhalin Energy is spending $1.5 million to bolster enterprises, such as fishing and dog-raising. Considering the billions that Shell stands to gain from Sakhalin II, the indigenous peoples and Zlivko are minor worries. The bigger issue is the Kremlin. Everyone from President Vladimir V. Putin on down is complaining about cost overruns. That's because under the production sharing contract, signed in 1994, Russia will start making serious money only after Sakhalin Energy recovers its costs. Up to then, the company pays just a 6% royalty on revenues. After that, Sakhalin Energy will get 90% of the profits until the project shows a 17.5% return. Income taxes will be 32%. "If they can't develop the project at the original costs, perhaps we should bring in another operator," gripes Vladimir Efremov, chairman of the Sakhalin parliament.
To smooth relations with the Kremlin and gain a strong local partner, Shell last year agreed to swap 25% of its controlling stake in Sakhalin Energy to the powerful state-owned gas giant, Gazprom. In exchange, Shell receives a 50% stake in a Gazprom field in western Siberia. Teaming with Gazprom should give Shell some political protection for now, but how much the government might want to up the ante later is a big question.
Russian Finance Minister Kudrin: Russia may declassify some oil deposits within 2-3 years

Russia may declassify part of its reserves of oil, gas and other minerals in two or three years, Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin told Interfax. "In all extraction sectors there is a certain level of reserves, which are classified, but some of them need to be declassified and brought into circulation," he said. The minister said that the declassification of part of mineral resource reserves will increase the capitalization of Russian companies and the Russian market. "And the main thing, it will let the world have a clearer picture of real mineral resources, including of oil and gas, which may have a positive influence on price stabilization," the minister said. He said that the issue of declassifying part of reserves is related to Russian initiatives at G8 meetings, the next of which will take place in St. Petersburg on June 9-10. "When among key issues at the G8 meetings Russia proposed the need to set up a more transparent fuel market, this also relates to the need to have more exact information on world oil and gas reserves," he said. "Therefore other countries should also take steps towards declassifying," Kudrin said. Talking about Russia’s plans about its membership of the World Trade Organization (WTO), Kudirn said Russia has to join the WTO, but should only do so on acceptable terms. "We can't decide not to join the WTO in principle, but we will hold as many talks as necessary. We're talking about acceptable terms," he said. "If we don't agree on them now, we will do so in a year, or two or three," Kudrin said. In touching on Russia's position concerning banks and insurance companies, Kudrin said that Russia is not ready to allow foreign banks to open direct branches. "We are also in difficult talks on other issues and have not made any decisions yet," he said. Russia needs to join the WTO and it won't be possible to double GDP without doing so, Kudrin said. "If we don't join the WTO, we will lower the rate of economic growth over the next few years," he said. "It's in our interests to join the WTO and I'm confident that this is in the interests of the entire world, therefore I'm optimistic about the prospects for resolving this issue," he said. Kudrin also said Vneshtorgbank (VTB) could issue retail bonds this year. Russia is planning to set up a special system to offer financial services to individuals and issuing VTB bonds will be one of these projects, he said. "We are mainly talking about government savings bonds, but are planning to issue corporate retail bonds," Kudrin said. "We will implement one such project with VTB this year," he said, but did not comment further. He said that Russia is planning to put forth an initiative to set up a system to provide financial services to individuals at a G8 meting in St. Petersburg on June 9-10. It will also propose a wider program to implement a program of financial education for individuals. "I would call this initiative 'financial literacy'. The goal is to significantly improve people's financial education and improve their literacy in financial matters," Kudrin said. He said that few people know how to get mortgage loans, fill out a tax form or transfer money. Most people do not know how to keep their savings in securities and what financial instruments exist to make money. This financial literacy initiative will help people invest, including by buying shares, for example in Gazprom, Kudrin said. "This will give every citizen the possibility to invest and get a good yield," he said. The lifting of restrictions on foreign currency operations in 2007 will not lead to a drastic change in the exchange rate of the ruble, Kudrin said. "We are not expecting any fundamental changes in the market because we are constantly weakening the foreign currency regime and we don't see any sharp changes in the exchange rate of the ruble," he said. There will be two contradictory tendencies once foreign currency restrictions are abolished, Kudrin said. On the one hand, Russian individuals and companies will get a more liberal regime to invest in Western companies and will be able to keep resources on accounts in foreign banks and conduct operations through them without getting any kind of permission, he said. "Things will be more liberal and some people will take advantage of this, of course, therefore the possibility will arise of capital outflow," Kudrin said. "On the other hand, Russia's investment climate is very attractive now, therefore capital is coming into Russia," he said. However, there will not be any sharp fluctuations in the exchange rate, he said. In touching on the recent behavior of the U.S. dollar, Kudrin said that everyone has concerns about the dollar. The Swedish central bank announced recently that it had increased the euro's weight in its reserves, and China did the same before that, Kudrin said. "Of course, Russia is taking into account all risks," he said. Strengthening the Russian ruble is having a negative effect on economic growth, Kudrin said. "If we hadn't strengthened the ruble, economic growth would have been higher," he said in commenting on research by the Economic Expert Group which found that a stronger ruble is good for the economy on the whole. "I don't agree entirely. Strengthening [the ruble] has a clear [negative] influence on economic growth, which is why China is not strengthening the yuan," Kudrin said. He said that China has other reasons for economic growth that are connected to a cheaper workforce, stronger investment conditions, and a higher level of investment guarantees than in Russia. "But, on the whole, if the ruble hadn't been strengthened so quickly, we would have had more possibilities for economic growth," Kudrin said. He said that Russian economic growth was 7%-7.3% recently, but will be around 6% this year. "The slowdown in economic growth is not only due to a stronger ruble, but its influence is beginning to be felt," Kudrin said. Russian imports grew to $116 billion from $94 billion in one year, he said. "A 25% growth in imports is a lot, especially amid industrial growth of 4% a year," he said. The Russian market is being saturated with imported goods and this is limiting the market segment where Russian-made goods could dominate, he said. Kudrin said that he doesn't see any serious mistakes in the Central Bank's exchange rate policy. "The strengthening that it is undertaking is a result of the government's actions," he said. Russia is getting more and more petrodollars and putting them into the Stabilization Fund, but because the government can't stop spending, the Central Bank is being forced to hold back inflation by additional measures to strengthen the ruble, he said. "This is why the actions taken by the Central Bank are a direct result of the government's actions," Kudrin said.
There is more to Russian economy than oil and gas

Friday, May 05, 2006
Itera profit down in 2005

Transneft reports increase in net profit

Monday, May 01, 2006
Leading British Asset Trader F&C Warns Investors over Planned $15Bln Rosneft Listing

EU energy commissioner for constructive gas relations with Russia
